FHSU poll shows Trump, Moran still leading; trending toward retention on judges

Voting (KSN File Photo)
Voting (KSN File Photo)

HAYS, Kan. (KSNW) – The Docking Institute of Public Affairs at Fort Hays State University conducted a poll from Nov. 1 through Nov. 3 to measure respondents’ preferences in the upcoming election on Tuesday, Nov. 8.

Results for this poll showed Donald Trump at 58 percent and holds a 24 point lead over Hillary Clinton, up from the 8-point lead showed in the Kansas Speaks survey released on Oct. 30, which had a data collection period of Sept. 1 to Oct. 13.

U.S. Sen. Jerry Moran is up 64 points from challengers Patrick Wiesner (13 percent) and Robert Garrard (10 percent) and appears to be comfortably on track to secure his seat for another six years.

The retention vote for five justices of the Kansas Supreme Court seems close with 40 percent of likely voters saying they will “Retain All” justices, while 25 percent say they will “Retain Some” and 24 percent saying they will “Retain None” of the Kansas Supreme Court justices up for retention.

When broken down by each justice, the numbers show:

• Chief Justice Lawton Nuss – 46 percent of likely voters said they would retain, while 35 percent said they would not retain, and 19 percent said they don’t know.

•Justice Marla Luckert – 46 percent of likely voters said they would retain, while 35 percent said they would not retain, and 19 percent said they don’t know.

•Justice Carol Beier– 46 percent of likely voters said they would retain, while 35 percent said they would not retain, and 19 percent said they don’t know.

• Justice Daniel Biles– 46 percent of likely voters said they would retain, while 35 percent said they would not retain, and 19 percent said they don’t know.

• Justice Caleb Stegall – 52 percent of likely voters said they would retain, while 29 percent said they would not retain, and 19 percent said they don’t know.

The Docking Institute contacted a total of 753 Kansas residents by cellular and landline telephone, with 346 of them completing the survey. With a cooperation rate of 46 percent, and with 313 of the respondents identified as likely voters, the result is a margin of error of plus or minus 5.5 percent at the 95-percent confidence level.

A margin of error of 5.5 percent means a 95-percent probability that findings among the sample vary no more than plus or minus 5.5 percent from the value that would be found if all adult Kansas residents were surveyed.