WICHITA, Kansas – According to the latest KSN News Poll, undecided voters could make or break candidates in the Republican primary election for Kansas’ 4th Congressional district in the race between incumbent Republican Mike Pompeo and challenger Todd Tiahrt.
The KSN News Poll, conducted exclusively for KSN-TV by SurveyUSA, released Wednesday showed that 16% of voters surveyed remain undecided. The KSN News Poll released in June also showed 16% of voters were undecided.
The poll released Wednesday has a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percent.
From July 17 – 22, SurveyUSA interviewed 2,400 Kansan adults. Of those, 2,079 were registered to vote. Of the number of people registered, 691 were determined to be likely to vote in the Republican primary election on August 5.
The KSN News Poll released in June had a margin of error of +/- 4.3 percent.
SurveyUSA interviewed 950 registered voters from Kansas’ 4th Congressional district from June 16 – 18. Of the 950 registered voters, SurveyUSA determined that 534 were likely to vote in the August 5 primary.
“Some of that is because these two candidates do share similar positions on a lot of issues, and so it’s not surprising that there are still some undecided,” said Jeff Jarman, the KSN political analyst.
Jarman argues that voter turnout will make or break any candidate in any race.
While the number of undecided voters in this race remains stagnant at 16% since last month, Jarman says candidate contact is essential to bringing in the undecided vote.
“Face-to-face contact both by the candidates, and by the campaign staff. That makes a profound difference in whether people will actually go vote in August,” said Jarman.
Jarman predicts that the candidates are unlikely to significantly shift their campaign focuses in order to obtain the undecided vote.
With only two weeks remaining before the August 5 primary, Jarman also says neither candidate is likely to be willing to make any major changes to obtain the undecided vote.
“Look, this is a real challenge in this particular primary, because I think a lot of that undecided vote is because the candidates do share similar philosophies,” continued Jarman.